๐Ÿ“ˆ ์ฑ„๊ถŒ ์žฅ์ค‘ ๋ฆฌํฌํŠธ | 2026.09.29 · 17์‹œ ์˜คํ›„

๐Ÿ’ฌ ์ฑ„๊ถŒ ์ฝ”๋ฉ˜ํŠธ

ํฌ๋ ˆ๋”ง ์ „ ์„นํ„ฐ ๊ธˆ๋ฆฌ ์ƒ์Šน ์••๋ ฅ, ํšŒ์‚ฌ์ฑ„ ๋™์–‘์ƒ๋ช…๋ณดํ—˜ 35-11๋งŒ ์—ญํ–‰ ๊ธ‰๋ฝ.

๐Ÿ“Œ ํ•œ์ค„ ์š”์•ฝ

  • ๊ตญ๊ณ  ์žฅ์ค‘ ์ „ ๊ตฌ๊ฐ„ ๊ฐ•์„ธ(์ „์ผ ํ‰๊ฐ€ ๋Œ€๋น„ -1.4~-3.5bp)์—๋„ ํฌ๋ ˆ๋”ง ๋Œ€๋ถ€๋ถ„ +4~+12bp๋Œ€ ์ƒ์Šน, ์Šคํ”„๋ ˆ๋“œ ํ™•๋Œ€ ์••๋ ฅ ์šฐ์œ„.
  • ํšŒ์‚ฌ์ฑ„ ๋™์–‘์ƒ๋ช…๋ณดํ—˜ 35-11 (-43.3bp) ๋‹จ๋… ์—ญํ–‰, ๊ฐœ๋ณ„ ์š”์ธ ์ฃผ๋ชฉ.

๐Ÿ“Š ๊ฑฐ๋ž˜ ์š”์•ฝ

  • ์—ฌ์ „·๊ณต์‚ฌ·ํŠน์€ ์„นํ„ฐ์—์„œ ๊ธˆ๋ฆฌ ์ƒ์Šน ์ข…๋ชฉ ์ง‘์ค‘, ๊ฑฐ๋ž˜ ์ „๋ฐ˜์— ๊ฑธ์ณ ์•ฝ์„ธ ํ๋ฆ„ ๋šœ๋ ท.
  • ๋™์–‘์ƒ๋ช…๋ณดํ—˜ 35-11 (3.650%, -43.3bp) — ํšŒ์‚ฌ์ฑ„ ๋‚ด ๋‚™ํญ ์ด๋ก€์ , ์žฅ๊ธฐ๋ฌผ(์ž”์กด ์•ฝ 9๋…„) ๊ตญ๊ณ  10Y ๋Œ€๋น„ ์Šคํ”„๋ ˆ๋“œ ๊ธ‰์ถ•์†Œ ์••๋ ฅ.
  • ์ฆ๊ถŒ๊ธˆ์œต์ฑ„๊ถŒ 28-03 (4.383%, +11.4bp) — ๊ณต์‚ฌ์ฑ„ ๋‚ด ์ƒ์Šนํญ ์ƒ๋‹จ, ๊ตญ๊ณ  3Y ๋Œ€๋น„ ์Šคํ”„๋ ˆ๋“œ ํ™•๋Œ€ ์šฐ์œ„.

๐Ÿ“ˆ ์ง€ํ‘œ

  • ํ†ต์•ˆ ์žฅ์ค‘: 3M +4.1bp, 9M +13.1bp, 1.5Y·2Y ๊ฐ +6.9bp — ๋‹จ๊ธฐ·์ค‘๋‹จ๊ธฐ ๊ตฌ๊ฐ„ ์ „๋ฐ˜ ๋งค๋„ ์šฐ์œ„.
  • ๊ตญ๊ณ  ์žฅ์ค‘: 2Y -1.9bp, 3Y -1.4bp, 5Y -2.9bp, 10Y -2.5bp, 30Y -3.5bp — ์ „ ๊ตฌ๊ฐ„ ์ „์ผ ํ‰๊ฐ€ ๋Œ€๋น„ ์†Œํญ ๊ฐ•์„ธ.
  • ํ†ต์•ˆ ๋งค๋„ vs ๊ตญ๊ณ  ์žฅ๋‚ด ๋งค์ˆ˜ — ๋งŒ๊ธฐ ๊ตฌ๊ฐ„๋ณ„ ๋ฐฉํ–ฅ ์ƒ์ถฉ. ํฌ๋ ˆ๋”ง ๊ธˆ๋ฆฌ ์ƒ์Šน์€ ํ†ต์•ˆ ์•ฝ์„ธ ๊ธฐ์กฐ์™€ ๊ถค๋ฅผ ๊ฐ™์ดํ•จ.

๐Ÿข ์„นํ„ฐ๋ณ„

  • ์—ฌ์ „: ์ „ ์ข…๋ชฉ +4.8~+10.4bp, ์Šคํ”„๋ ˆ๋“œ ํ™•๋Œ€ ์šฐ์œ„. ํ•˜๋‚˜์บํ”ผํƒˆ 28-08 (4.609%, +9.9bp) ์ƒ๋‹จ.
  • ํšŒ์‚ฌ: ๋™์–‘์ƒ๋ช…๋ณดํ—˜ 35-11 (3.650%, -43.3bp) ๋‹จ๋… ๊ธ‰๋ฝ ํ˜ผ์กฐ. ๋‚˜๋จธ์ง€ +5.2~+8.9bp ์•ฝ์„ธ.
  • ๊ณต์‚ฌ: ์ „ ์ข…๋ชฉ +3.9~+12bp ์ƒ์Šน, ํ™•๋Œ€ ์šฐ์œ„. ํ•œ๊ตญ๊ด‘ํ•ด๊ด‘์—…๊ณต๋‹จ 30-06 (4.535%, +12bp) ์ตœ๋Œ€.
  • ์€ํ–‰: +6.2~+8.8bp ์ƒ์Šน ์ง‘์ค‘, ํ™•๋Œ€ ์šฐ์œ„. ์‹ ํ•œ์€ํ–‰ 27-11 (4.228%, +8.8bp) ์ƒ๋‹จ.
  • ํŠน์€: +5.9~+9bp, ํ™•๋Œ€ ์šฐ์œ„. ์ค‘์†Œ๊ธฐ์—…์€ํ–‰(์‹ ) 28-07 (4.285%, +9bp) ์ƒ๋‹จ.

⚠️ ์ฃผ๋ชฉ ๊ฑฐ๋ž˜

  • ๋™์–‘์ƒ๋ช…๋ณดํ—˜ 35-11 (3.650%, -43.3bp) — ์ž”์กด ์•ฝ 9๋…„, ๊ตญ๊ณ  10Y ์žฅ์ค‘ -2.5bp ๋Œ€๋น„ ์Šคํ”„๋ ˆ๋“œ -40.8bp ์ˆ˜์ค€ ๊ธ‰์ถ•์†Œ ์••๋ ฅ. ๊ฐœ๋ณ„ ์ˆ˜๊ธ‰·์žฌํ‰๊ฐ€ ์š”์ธ ์—ฌ๋ถ€ ํ™•์ธ ํ•„์š”.
  • ํ•œ๊ตญ๊ด‘ํ•ด๊ด‘์—…๊ณต๋‹จ 30-06 (4.535%, +12bp) — ์ž”์กด ์•ฝ 4๋…„, ๊ตญ๊ณ  5Y -2.9bp ๋Œ€๋น„ ์Šคํ”„๋ ˆ๋“œ ์•ฝ +14.9bp ํ™•๋Œ€ ์••๋ ฅ. ๊ณต์‚ฌ์ฑ„ ๋‚ด ์ƒ์Šนํญ ์ตœ์ƒ๋‹จ.

๋ณธ ๋ณด๊ณ ์„œ๋Š” AI๊ฐ€ ์ƒ์„ฑํ•œ ์ •๋ณด๋ฅผ ๋ฐ”ํƒ•์œผ๋กœ ์ž‘์„ฑ๋˜์—ˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ํˆฌ์ž ๊ถŒ์œ  ๋˜๋Š” ํˆฌ์ž ์˜๊ฒฌ์ด ์•„๋‹ˆ๋ฉฐ, ํˆฌ์ž ํŒ๋‹จ ๋ฐ ๊ทธ์— ๋”ฐ๋ฅธ ์†์ต์€ ์ „์ ์œผ๋กœ ํˆฌ์ž์ž ๋ณธ์ธ์—๊ฒŒ ์žˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.

๐Ÿ“Š ๋Œ€ํ˜•์ฒด๊ฒฐ TOP5 (100์–ต+)

์ด ํฌ์ŠคํŒ…์€ ์ฟ ํŒก ํŒŒํŠธ๋„ˆ์Šค ํ™œ๋™์˜ ์ผํ™˜์œผ๋กœ, ์ด์— ๋”ฐ๋ฅธ ์ผ์ •์•ก์˜ ์ˆ˜์ˆ˜๋ฃŒ๋ฅผ ์ œ๊ณต๋ฐ›์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.

▶ ์˜ค์ „ (13์‹œ ๋ฏธ๋งŒ)

ํŠน์€์ฑ„

  1. ์‚ฐ์—…๊ธˆ์œต์ฑ„๊ถŒ 27-10-24 4.14% +8.4bp
  2. ํ•œ๊ตญ์ˆ˜์ถœ์ž…๊ธˆ์œต 27-07-15 4.05% +3.5bp
  3. ์‚ฐ์—…๊ธˆ์œต์ฑ„๊ถŒ 29-01-27 4.31% +10.1bp
  4. ์ค‘์†Œ๊ธฐ์—…์€ํ–‰(์‹ ) 27-04-07 3.80% +2.8bp
  5. ์‚ฐ์—…๊ธˆ์œต์ฑ„๊ถŒ 27-11-20 4.16% +8.3bp

ํšŒ์‚ฌ์ฑ„

  1. NH๋†ํ˜‘๊ธˆ์œต์ง€์ฃผ 28-09-29 4.50% +9.8bp
  2. ํ˜ธํ…”์‹ ๋ผ 27-04-28 4.30% +10bp
  3. ์šฐ๋ฆฌ๊ธˆ์œต์ง€์ฃผ 27-06-08 4.13% +8bp
  4. ์‹ ํ•œ๊ธˆ์œต์ง€์ฃผ 27-11-10 4.26% +8.9bp
  5. ์—์Šค์ผ€์ด๋ Œํ„ฐ์นด 27-11-08 4.72% +11.1bp

์—ฌ์ „์ฑ„

  1. ์šฐ๋ฆฌ์นด๋“œ 27-09-17 4.33% +6.3bp
  2. ๋กฏ๋ฐ์บํ”ผํƒˆ 28-11-21 5.29% +11.7bp
  3. ์‚ฐ์€์บํ”ผํƒˆ 28-07-13 4.57% +6.3bp
  4. ๋น„์”จ์นด๋“œ 28-10-20 4.64% +10.3bp
  5. ํ•˜๋‚˜์นด๋“œ 28-10-13 4.63% +9.4bp

๊ณต์‚ฌ์ฑ„

  1. ์„ธ์ข…๋„์‹œ๊ตํ†ต๊ณต์‚ฌ 27-07-09 3.95% -16.1bp
  2. ํ† ์ง€์ฃผํƒ์ฑ„๊ถŒ 31-07-27 4.60% +13.3bp
  3. ๊ณผ์ฒœ๋„์‹œ๊ณต์‚ฌ 27-04-09 3.72% -22.9bp
  4. ํ•œ๊ตญ์ „๋ ฅ๊ณต์‚ฌ์ฑ„๊ถŒ 27-05-10 4.00% +7.1bp

์€ํ–‰์ฑ„

  1. ๊ตญ๋ฏผ์€ํ–‰ 28-10-24 4.39% +12.4bp
  2. ํ•˜๋‚˜์€ํ–‰ 27-09-10 4.18% +8.1bp

▶ ์˜คํ›„ (13~17์‹œ ๋ฏธ๋งŒ)

ํŠน์€์ฑ„

  1. ์‚ฐ์—…๊ธˆ์œต์ฑ„๊ถŒ 28-10-14 4.30% +8.8bp
  2. ์ค‘์†Œ๊ธฐ์—…์€ํ–‰(์‹ ) 28-02-06 4.21% +8.7bp
  3. ํ•œ๊ตญ์ˆ˜์ถœ์ž…๊ธˆ์œต 27-10-17 4.11% +5.9bp
  4. ์‚ฐ์—…๊ธˆ์œต์ฑ„๊ถŒ 28-02-05 4.20% +6.8bp
  5. ์ค‘์†Œ๊ธฐ์—…์€ํ–‰(์‹ ) 28-07-29 4.29% +9bp

์—ฌ์ „์ฑ„

  1. ํ•˜๋‚˜์บํ”ผํƒˆ 28-08-11 4.61% +9.9bp
  2. ์•„์ด๋น„์ผ€์ด์บํ”ผํƒˆ 27-09-10 4.36% +8.2bp
  3. ์‚ฐ์€์บํ”ผํƒˆ 27-10-08 4.37% +4.8bp
  4. ์šฐ๋ฆฌ๊ธˆ์œต์บํ”ผํƒˆ 28-03-28 4.55% +10.4bp
  5. ์šฐ๋ฆฌ๊ธˆ์œต์บํ”ผํƒˆ 28-01-04 4.46% +6.7bp

ํšŒ์‚ฌ์ฑ„

  1. ๋™์–‘์ƒ๋ช…๋ณดํ—˜ 35-11-04 3.65% -43.3bp
  2. ํ•œ๊ตญ๋‚จ๋ถ€๋ฐœ์ „ 27-04-22 4.09% +7.5bp
  3. ์‚ผ์–‘์‹ํ’ˆ 28-04-24 4.52% +8.8bp
  4. ์ฝ”๋ฆฌ์•„์—๋„ˆ์ง€ํ„ฐ๋ฏธ๋„ 28-02-18 4.54% +5.2bp
  5. ์‹ ํ•œ๊ธˆ์œต์ง€์ฃผ 27-11-10 4.26% +8.9bp

๊ณต์‚ฌ์ฑ„

  1. ํ† ์ง€์ฃผํƒ์ฑ„๊ถŒ 31-02-12 4.50% +8bp
  2. ์ฆ๊ถŒ๊ธˆ์œต์ฑ„๊ถŒ 28-03-17 4.38% +11.4bp
  3. ํ•œ๊ตญ๊ด‘ํ•ด๊ด‘์—…๊ณต๋‹จ 30-06-18 4.53% +12bp
  4. ์ค‘์†Œ๋ฒค์ฒ˜๊ธฐ์—…์ง„ํฅ์ฑ„๊ถŒ 27-05-12 3.92% +6.9bp
  5. ๋†์—…๊ธˆ์œต์ฑ„๊ถŒ(์ค‘์•™ํšŒ) 27-06-19 4.06% +3.9bp

์€ํ–‰์ฑ„

  1. ์‹ ํ•œ์€ํ–‰ 27-11-10 4.23% +8.8bp
  2. ์šฐ๋ฆฌ์€ํ–‰ 27-09-13 4.16% +6.2bp
  3. ์‹ ํ•œ์€ํ–‰ 27-11-14 4.22% +8bp
  4. ํ•˜๋‚˜์€ํ–‰ 27-09-30 4.17% +6.2bp

※ ๊ธˆ๋ฆฌ๋Š” ๊ฑฐ๋ž˜๋Ÿ‰ ๊ฐ€์ค‘ํ‰๊ท 
※ ์ž”์กด๋งŒ๊ธฐ 0.5๋…„(6๊ฐœ์›”) ๋ฏธ๋งŒ · ๋ฐœํ–‰ 30์ผ ์ด๋‚ด ์ข…๋ชฉ ์ œ์™ธ
※ FRN(๋ณ€๋™๊ธˆ๋ฆฌ์ฑ„)·๊ณ ์ •+๋ณ€๋™ ์ œ์™ธ · ๊ณ ์ •์ฑ„๋งŒ


ForestBond · ํ•œ๊ตญ์žฅ์™ธ 100์–ต+ ์ฒด๊ฒฐ · ๊ธˆ๋ฆฌ๋Š” ๊ฑฐ๋ž˜๋Ÿ‰ ๊ฐ€์ค‘ํ‰๊ท . ๋ณธ ์ž๋ฃŒ๋Š” ํˆฌ์ž ๊ถŒ์œ ๊ฐ€ ์•„๋‹™๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.

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